CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-01-20T13:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-01-20T13:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/23385/-1
CME Note: Bright, wide CME with filamentary structure seen to the southwest in SOHO LASCO and STEREO A COR2 coronagraphs. Associated with a large-scale filament eruption whose filament at 2023-01-20T11:00Z was stretched from S42W25 northwest to about S30W70 (center point approximately S35W52). The eruption and post eruptive brightening is seen best in SDO 304 but also in SDO 193/171/211 occurring near 13:00Z. Arrival observed at Earth on 2023-01-23T02:59Z is believed to be more likely associated with CME: 2023-01-20T16:12Z, though its arrival is possibly associated with this CME.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-01-23T00:48Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 806.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 869.278 Acceleration: -1.73913 Duration in seconds: 213021.81 Duration in days: 2.4655303 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -1.74 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 498.8 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 23/01/2023 Time: 00:48 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 53.13 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2023-01-20T19:40Z
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